Your air screw only affects the engine for up to 1/3 throttle I believe, but that does make it sound like a jet issue, though I fail to see how the slight changes in weather affect it so drastically. What size are you running? Maybe try going down a few sized, jets are dirt cheap. Plug one in run it and plug chop (you are definitely jetted rich seeing as the plug is black). Take a day and nail the jetting with the air screw at stock setting (I think that should be 1 1/2 turns out). You should see a nice brown ish color on the plug when you get it right.